Technical Concept · 2026

    Terminal Value: Gordon Growth and Exit Multiple

    Why terminal value dominates a DCF, both methods, and the traps interviewers test.

    Direct answer. Terminal value is the present value of all cash flows beyond the explicit DCF projection period. Two methods dominate: Gordon Growth (perpetuity) and Exit Multiple. Together they cross-check each other.

    Terminal value usually drives more than half of DCF enterprise value. Defend it well or the entire valuation collapses.

    Definition

    Terminal value captures the value of cash flows after the explicit projection period. It is computed at the final projection year and discounted back to present using WACC.

    Formulas

    Two methods, written blind.

    Gordon Growth and Exit Multiple
    Gordon Growth: TV = FCF × (1 + g) / (WACC - g)
    
    Exit Multiple: TV = EBITDA × Exit Multiple
    FCF is the unlevered free cash flow in the final projection year.

    Plain-English Explanation

    Gordon Growth assumes the business grows forever at a constant rate g, with WACC as the required return. Exit Multiple assumes a buyer or market values the business at year-N EBITDA times a multiple. Both estimate the same thing — what the business is worth at the end of the explicit window.

    Why Bankers Care

    Terminal value is where most DCF value lives. Drill the surrounding stack in DCF interview questions and pressure-test it in a live investment banking mock interview.

    Interview Answer Framework

    Use this every time.

    • 1. Pick a method. Default to running both for cross-check.
    • 2. Defend g or the multiple. Anchor g below long-run GDP; anchor multiples to comps.
    • 3. Discount. Apply WACC to bring TV to present.
    • 4. Cross-check. Implied multiple from Gordon vs implied g from Exit Multiple.
    • 5. Sensitize. Show enterprise value across a g/WACC and multiple grid.

    Numeric Example

    Illustrative inputs at the end of year 5.

    Terminal value — illustrative
    InputValue
    FCF year 5100
    Long-term growth g2.5%
    WACC8.0%
    Gordon Growth TV1,864
    Year 5 EBITDA200
    Exit multiple9.0x
    Exit Multiple TV1,800
    Discount factor at 8% over 5y0.681
    PV of TV (Gordon)1,269
    PV of TV (Exit Multiple)1,225

    Sensitivity

    Always present TV with a sensitivity grid. Vary g and WACC for Gordon Growth, or vary exit multiple by half-turn increments. The grid is the answer to 'what could change this?'.

    Common Traps

    Where candidates lose points.

    • g > WACC. Breaks the formula and implies infinite value.
    • g above long-run GDP. The firm cannot outgrow the economy forever.
    • Wrong FCF year. Use the year-N FCF (or year-N+1 in some conventions). Be explicit.
    • Inconsistent EBITDA. Use a normalized year-N EBITDA, not a peak or trough.
    • Forgetting to discount TV. TV sits at year N and must be PV'd to today.

    How to Practice This Concept

    Build TV both ways for three companies you cover, then defend cold in a timed investment banking mock interview. For the upstream input, see WACC interview answer.

    What Candidates Get Wrong

    • Choosing one method blindly. Run both. Use one to sanity-check the other.
    • Aggressive growth assumptions. Above long-run GDP is not defensible.
    • Forgetting to discount. TV sits at year N. Bring it to present.
    • No sensitivity grid. Bankers expect to see a range, not a point.

    Real Interview Insight

    A common failure pattern: candidate uses 4% g vs 7% WACC, generating a TV that swallows the whole DCF, and cannot explain why g should be that high. The fix is to anchor g below long-run nominal GDP and cross-check the implied multiple against comps.

    Try it free

    Stop reading. Defend terminal value cold.

    Reading the formula is not the same as defending it. Run a Mock Interview now.

    Q&A

    Frequently Asked Questions

    Keep going

    Continue with the wider topic: DCF Interview Questions